US Coins

Forecast suggests higher gold price for 2019

Central banks added gold to their nation's reserves during the third quarter of 2018.

Background image courtesy of World Gold Council; coins image courtesy of

The spot price of gold should average $1,285 per ounce during 2019, according to Refinitiv, formerly a Thomson Reuters financial and risk business.

Gold closed on the London PM fix at $1,205.55 per ounce Nov. 12. Gold hit a yearly high of $1,353.70 on Jan. 24.

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During the third quarter, gold held in exchange-traded funds dropped to 2,221 metric tonnes at the end of September, compared with 2,312 metric tonnes at the end of the second quarter, in June, according to Refinitiv.

Refinitv’s survey of retail investment indicates coin and bar demand is up overall everywhere except in South America and Mexico. Retail investment demand for gold in the United States increased 26 percent in the third quarter from the previous three-month period, bolstered by higher coin sales, but bar purchases continued to shrink.

Analysts for Gold Field Minerals Services, a precious metals consultancy that is part of Thomson Reuters, predicted year to date net purchases in 2018 of 322 metric tonnes, an 18 percent increase over the same three quarters in 2017. Third quarter purchases alone reached 127 metric tonnes, the highest quarterly volume registered in three years, according to the analysis.

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