Higher grade Morgan dollar market still volatile

Prices for common MS-66 examples down from April 2011 highs
By , Coin World
Published : 02/20/12
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Arguably the Morgan dollar is the most widely collected classic U.S. coin.

Silver’s rise over the past several years has generally strengthened demand for Morgan dollars along with increasing supplies of the more common issues, which the market has absorbed.

In circulated and low-grade Mint State grades, the market places a premium on 1878 to 1904 issues versus the series-closing 1921 Morgan dollar. However, as the price of silver has moved up, this price differential has been shrinking. Broadly speaking, dealers sell bags of these common dollars in several grades: culls, which are polished, heavily worn or damaged coins; circulated, a broad range that includes coins grading from Very Good to Extremely Fine; sliders, About Uncirculated coins that are sometimes called “commercial Uncirculated”; and finally, Uncirculated, which typically includes Mint State 60 to 63 coins.

Typically, Morgan dollars finer than MS-63 need to be certified by a third-party grading service to maximize their value, and the market for MS-64 though MS-66 coins has been particularly volatile in the past few years. Dealers often submit large groups of dollars to grading services for bulk grading at steep discounts to retail grading fees, which explains why so many common certified MS-61, MS-62 and MS-63 Morgan dollars are in the marketplace when it would appear that there is little financial incentive for certifying these.

The recent surge in silver brought millions of Morgan dollars to the rare coin market, but most were generally low quality and the population of higher Mint State coins did not increase substantially. As a result, when the price of silver surged in 2011, so did the prices of MS-64 through MS-66 common Morgan dollars. In April 2011, as silver approached $50 an ounce, common MS-66 pre-1921 Morgan dollars were trading for as much as $450. Considering that they started 2011 at the $250 level, such a rapid increase is remarkable. In February 2012, demand has declined from last year’s highs and handsome examples may be found for $325 to $350, with low-end examples selling for as little as $270 in some online auctions.

The Morgan dollar market continues to show a preference for either brilliant coins devoid of toning or beautifully toned coins; off-white or lightly toned coins are often discounted by dealers.

Today’s collectors look critically at their certified coins to make sure that they buy coins that represent high-quality within a grade. Auction prices and dealer comments both reflect a growing price gap between high- and low-quality coins. Unattractive coins continue to have a market, but the market is a step below the current retail price levels listed by Coin World’s Coin Values. ■

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